One Number. Two Stories. One Winner.
One Number. Two Stories. One Winner! Dear investor. Gold at $4,072 today. Silver at $58.88. This morning the U.S. released its June CPI: 3.5 % annualized, down sharply from 4.2% in May. The market celebrated. Gold moved higher. But Warsh, testifying before Congress just hours later, told lawmakers something they needed to hear: this is not mission accomplished. He was right. And that tension between one favorable data point and an inflation problem that is far from resolved is precisely the environment that has defined the entire precious metals thesis for the past year. Here is what happened: energy prices fell in June because Middle East tensions briefly eased. But those same tensions reignited last week. U.S. and Iranian forces exchanged new strikes. Oil is trading above $84 again. The underlying inflation trend, the one that runs through tariffs, fiscal deficits and a structurally weaker dollar, has not changed. One month of cheaper gas is not a moneta...