Jackson Hole this Friday.

arriba-Aug-26-2026-08-27-50-4971-PM

Jackson Hole this Friday.

 

Dear investor.

 

Gold at $4,621 today. Silver at $68.19. Three developments this week explain why August is gold's best month since 2008 and why Friday's Jackson Hole speech, whatever it contains, does not change the direction.

 

On August 21st Ray Dalio published his updated portfolio framework and recommended between 10% and 15% in gold. His central argument: the United States carries $11 trillion in annual debt service obligations with no credible path to resolution. That number is not a forecast. It is an accounting fact. Gold, which carries no counterparty risk and owes nothing to any sovereign balance sheet, is his answer.

 

Days later, the U.S. Treasury confirmed the mechanism Dalio was describing. The Treasury doubled its long-dated bond buyback program, a decision that pushed long-term yields lower, weakened the dollar and sent a clear message to global markets: American debt is being managed with monetary tools, not fiscal discipline. Gold's response was immediate and decisive.

 

The third development was the collapse of September rate hike odds, from above 80% in mid-July to near 30% today. An economy growing at just 1.5% in Q2, new home sales down 10.5% in July and consumer confidence at 89.4 have made the case for further tightening very difficult to sustain. This morning's PCE at 3.7% annually keeps the conversation alive but has not reversed the trend.

 

Natixis raised its gold target to $5,000 this week. Société Générale confirmed gold as a strategic hedge against inflation and policy risks that markets have systematically underpriced. Bank of America's fund manager survey found that gold is considered undervalued by institutional investors with bullish interest turning positive for the first time in months.

 

Silver at $68.19 carries the same structural story with more upside potential. The supply deficit is the sixth consecutive annual shortfall. The ascending wedge pattern is intact. Dalio did not mention silver. The industrial demand story means it does not need the same endorsement to move.

 

Warsh speaks Friday.

The three forces that built this month's rally were already in place before anyone arrived in Wyoming.

 

Contact IMG today.

The structure does not wait for the speech.!

 

Much success to all.

 

Disclaimer.


The content presented in this news and video is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial or investment advice.
Investing in physical precious metals involves significant risks, including market volatility, lack of guaranteed returns, liquidity challenges, and storage considerations.
Prices of precious metals can fluctuate widely due to various unpredictable factors.


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